Fire OblationTier 2
at Road to Ascent Baguio Leg
decks
1
(3.4% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4
2-2-0
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
49.8%
avg ELO -0.1 per match
expected value
52.5%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.1%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1348
· median 1348
· range 1348–1348
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1079
Q1 1175
Q3 1287
1421
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 10.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 10.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.0% | +1.6 |
| Fire Aggro | 6.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 6.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.7% | -3.6 |
| Fire Suited | 6.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 6.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 6.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.0% | +1.6 |
| Fire Diao Chan | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 3.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Fire Seiryuu | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ciel | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Oblation | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Lorraine | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Oblation decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
